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Mexico - Segunda Division
Mexico - Segunda Division Mexico
06.05.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
06.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Mexico - Segunda Division

Mexico

Deportiva Venados - Alakrane de Durango

Mexico Football
Deportiva Venados
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1
Finished
Alakrane de Durango
Alakrane de Durango

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportiva Venados - Alakrane de Durango May 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Deportiva Venados. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / X 7.30 / 2 2.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 51.5%
1 62.3%
X 9.0%
2 28.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Deportiva Venados - Alakrane de Durango

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 market consensus · line only
X 7.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin
6.25 16.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.8%
X 1.25 80.0% 12.00 8.3% 15.00 6.7% 13.00 7.7% 8.50 11.8% 8.50 11.8%
6.25 16.0% 54.00 1.9% 67.00 1.5% 501.00 0.2% 60.00 1.7% 61.00 1.6%