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Mexico: Liga MX - Women - Apertura Standings
Mexico: Liga MX - Women - Apertura Standings
02.08.2026 01:06 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 01:06 UTC
Finished

Mexico: Liga MX - Women - Apertura Standings

Tigres UANL W - Puebla W

Football
T
Tigres UANL W
8 : 0
Finished
P
Puebla W

Tigres UANL W meet Puebla W on August 2, 2026 in the Mexico: Liga MX - Women - Apertura Standings.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 85% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Tigres UANL W — 85%

1 · Tigres UANL W ✓ Pick85.0%
X · draw9.0%
2 · Puebla W6.0%

Model estimate: win Tigres UANL W 85.0%, draw 9.0%, win Puebla W 6.0%. Model favourite — Tigres UANL W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tigres UANL W (odds2.36) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs UANL-Tigres (Zh): probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.36)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tigres UANL W - Puebla W August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Tigres UANL W 85.0% / X 9.0% / Puebla W 6.0%

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga MX Femenil
Best price across 11 books
1 1.06 Bet365
X 15.64 Pinnacle
2 34.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tigres UANL W
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 2.29 Conceded 0.81 xG 2.40 xGA 1.03
Puebla W
W-D-L 1-2-7 Scored 0.61 Conceded 2.69 xG 0.85 xGA 2.82

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Tigres UANL W
Rating 1740 xG 2.76 Win 83%
Puebla W
Rating 1249 xG 0.58 Win 5%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Tigres UANL W 5 : 0 Puebla W
11.02
X12.50
219.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 01:06 UTC
Match center

Tigres UANL W - Puebla W

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 8:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 85.0% fact: home hit / ROI 4.0% / Brier 0.034 / LogLoss 0.162
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 85.0% fact: home hit / ROI 4.0% / Brier 0.034 / LogLoss 0.162
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 85.0% fact: home hit / ROI 4.0% / Brier 0.034 / LogLoss 0.162
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 85.0% fact: home hit / ROI 4.0% / Brier 0.034 / LogLoss 0.162
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tigres UANL W 87.6% 85.0% market and model agree
Draw 8.2% 9.0% draw risk
Puebla W 4.2% 6.0%
xG - 2.76 : 0.58
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 85.0% / 9.0% / 6.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 UANL-Tigres (Zh) / Puebla (w)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 10.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 85.0%
Double chance
12 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 91.0%
1X 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 94.0%
X2 7.30 market consensus · no value · model 15.0%
Total
Over 2.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.58 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.24 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.58 63.3%
yes 2.24 44.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 — 1.02 98.0%
1x — 1.01 99.0%
x2 6.20 16.1% 8.40 11.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.32 75.8%
X 3.76 26.6%
11.30 8.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 1.5 2.06 48.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTigres UANL W - Puebla W

Tigres UANL W
0 matches total
Puebla W
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history