World: Championship Worlda - Playoff
England - Argentina
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 England — 35%
Pure model vs market (1 · England): model 35% · market 35% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win England 35.0%, draw 32.8%, win Argentina 32.2%. Model favourite — England.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction England - Argentina 15 июля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like England.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.72 / X 2.90 / 2 2.99
- 1X2 market: England 35.1% / X 32.9% / Argentina 31.9%
- Glicko: England 35.0% / X 32.8% / Argentina 32.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Лидер исходов AI: П1
Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:7/7 ready
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 35% | 33% | 32% | 1:1 | ТМ 2.5 | Да | 1X |
| DeepSeek | 39% | 33% | 28% | 1:1 | ТМ 2.5 | Да | Англия |
| ChatGPT | 35% | 31% | 34% | 1:1 | ТМ 2.5 | Да | Аргентина |
| Claude | 37% | 31% | 32% | 2:1 | ТБ 2.5 | Да | Англия |
| Qwen | 35% | 33% | 32% | 1:1 | ТМ 2.5 | Да | Аргентина |
| Kimi | 33% | 31% | 36% | 1:2 | ТБ 2.5 | Да | X2 (двойной шанс Аргентина/ничья) |
| GLM 5.2 | 38% | 35% | 27% | 2:1 | ТБ 2.5 | Да | 1X |
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England - Argentina
Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Англия - Аргентина, 15 июля 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Мира по футболу 2026, 1/2 финала. Англия - Аргентина, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.70 37.0% | 2.82 35.5% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.82 35.5% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.70 37.0% |
| Х | 2.82 35.5% | 2.96 33.8% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.80 35.7% |
| П2 | 2.88 34.7% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 2.08 48.1% | 1.88 53.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.39 71.9% | 1.39 71.9% | 12.00 8.3% |
| x2 | 1.43 69.9% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.05 95.2% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 1_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_4 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 2_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 3_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 3_2 | 29.00 3.5% |
England
No home-team absences found in the prematch data.
Argentina
No away-team absences found in the prematch data.
Form & head-to-head
Match stats
England
Norway
Mexico
DR Kongo
Argentina
Switzerland
Egypt
Kabo-Verde
Full head-to-head historyEngland - Argentina
Match history
Англия Аргентина 6 Игры 6 5 Победы 6 1 Ничьи 0 0 Поражения 0 13 Забито 17 6 Пропущено 6 16 Очки 18 106.67 Атаки 120.17 60.17 Опасные атаки 54.5 3 Голевые моменты 4 15.67 Удары по воротам 16 6.67 Удары в створ 6.33 0 Штанги/перекладины 1 5.83 Угловые 5.17 1.83 Оффсайды 3 10.33 Фолы 12.17 57.33 % владения мячом 60.17 1.17 Предупреждения 1 0.17 Удаления 0 Голы Энтони Гордон Морган Роджерс 1:0 55' Энцо Фернандес Лионель Месси 1:1 85' Лаутаро Мартинес Лионель Месси 1:2 90+2' Наказания Эллиот Андерсон 37' Лисандро Мартинес 42' Кристиан Ромеро 51' Родриго Де Пауль 90+4'