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England. Premier League. Outrights

02.08.2026 20:00 UTC

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England. Premier League. Outrights

Liverpool - Leeds

Football

Liverpool

- : -

Not started

Leeds

Liverpool face Leeds on August 2, 2026 in the England. Premier League. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Liverpool 2-2-1, Leeds 2-1-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Liverpool — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Liverpool): model 56% · market 54% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Liverpool53.7%

X · draw22.8%

2 · Leeds23.5%

Model estimate: win Liverpool 53.7%, draw 22.8%, win Leeds 23.5%. Model favourite — Liverpool.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Liverpool (odds1.85) Score 2:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs Liverpul: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
• no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Leeds August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.73 / X 4.20 / 2 4.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%

1 54.2%

X 22.3%

2 23.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.65 ↑ 1.75

1X2 X 4.40 ↓ 4.15

1X2 P2 4.30 ↓ 3.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League - Summer Series

League table

Liverpool

#16 ptsGP 22-0-05:2

Leeds

#23 ptsGP 21-0-13:3

Best price across 12 books

1 1.83 Betfair

X 4.15 Betano

2 4.05 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Liverpool 3 : 1 Leeds

11.73

X4.10

24.07

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 02.08.2026 20:00 UTC

Market 1 54.2% @ 1.73 / X 22.3% @ 4.20 / 2 23.4% @ 4.00

Match center

Liverpool - Leeds

football, Liverpul - Lids Yunayted, 2 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Liverpul - Lids Yunayted, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Liverpool 53.5% 53.7% market and model agree

Draw 23.0% 22.8% draw risk

Leeds 23.5% 23.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 53.7% / 22.8% / 23.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,725 / 1,489 Liverpool / Leeds

RD 250 / 248 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,225-2,225 / 993-1,985 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.00 Fonbet · no value · model 23.5%

X 4.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.73 Fonbet · no value · model 53.7%

Double chance

12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 77.2%

1X 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 76.5%

X2 2.05 Fonbet · no value · model 46.3%

Handicap

2 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 6.00 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.85 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.60 38.5%	2.60 38.5%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.19 84.0%	1.21 82.6%	1.20 83.3%
1x	1.19 84.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%
x2	1.96 51.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.20 45.5%
X	2.42 41.3%
	4.30 23.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.09 47.9%
Under 1.5	1.66 60.2%

Match center

Liverpool

W W D L D

2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026

Liverpool Liverpool 1:0 Wrexham

2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026

Liverpool Liverpool 4:2 Sunderland

2026-05-24 Premier League 25/26

Liverpool Liverpool 1:1 Brentford

2026-05-15 Premier League 25/26

Liverpool Aston Villa 4:2 Liverpool

2026-05-09 Premier League 25/26

Liverpool Liverpool 1:1 Chelsea

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

8 Points

Leeds

W L L W D

2026-07-30 Club Friendly Games 2026

Leeds 1:0 Sunderland Leeds

2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026

Leeds 2:3 Wrexham Leeds

2026-05-24 Premier League 25/26

West Ham 3:0 Leeds Leeds

2026-05-17 Premier League 25/26

Leeds 1:0 Brighton Leeds

2026-05-11 Premier League 25/26

Tottenham 1:1 Leeds Leeds

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Leeds

Liverpool

0 matches total

Leeds

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Liverpool

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Leeds

0 Games 0

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

0 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Liverpul Lids Yunayted 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0

Chego zhdat ot otvetnykh matches quarter-final LCh «Bavariya», «PSZh» and «Real» vpechatlili, no oni ne favority Ligi chempionov!

«Arsenal» — favorit, «Real» protiv «Siti», a kto vyigraet Ligu chempionov?

Trent Aleksander-Arnold pokorit «Real».

Kakim poluchitsya debyutnyy sezon v Primere?

Shans dlya Amorima and Gvardioly spasti sezon.

Liverpul Lids Yunayted 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 77% 9% 14% Double chance 43% 45% 12% Materialy po prognozam V «Barsu» veryat, v «Liverpul» and «Real» — net. Chego zhdat ot otvetnykh matches quarter-final LCh «Bavariya», «PSZh» and «Real» vpechatlili, no oni ne favority Ligi chempionov! «Arsenal» — favorit, «Real» protiv «Siti», a kto vyigraet Ligu chempionov? Trent Aleksander-Arnold pokorit «Real». Kakim poluchitsya debyutnyy sezon v Primere? Shans dlya Amorima and Gvardioly spasti sezon. Kto vyigraet Cup England? Gvardiole and Anchelotti rano otchaivatsya! A Slot uzhe v favoritakh Ligi chempionov «Fulkhem» — «Liverpul». Chempionstvo v APL — posledniy shans Kloppa and Salakha «Manchester Siti» — «Liverpul»: yarkiy Football ot Kloppa and Gvardioly «Chelsi» — «Liverpul»: Klopp proekzamenuet Pochettino «Liverpul» — «Darmshtadt». Yurgen Klopp strashen v gneve CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CH