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Moldova. Superleague
Moldova. Superleague
01.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Not started

Moldova. Superleague

Petrocub - Politehnica UTM

Football
Petrocub
Petrocub
- : -
Not started
P
Politehnica UTM

Petrocub take on Politehnica UTM on August 1, 2026 in the Moldova. Superleague.

Recent form (W-D-L): Petrocub 1-2-1, Politehnica UTM 0-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Petrocub76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Petrocub): model 59% · market 77% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Petrocub ✓ Pick75.9%
market77%
X · draw15.0%
market15%
2 · Politehnica UTM9.0%
market8%

Model estimate: win Petrocub 75.9%, draw 15.0%, win Politehnica UTM 9.0%. Model favourite — Petrocub.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Petrocub - Politehnica UTM August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Petrocub. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 6.10 / 2 12.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 ✓ Pick 76.7%
X 15.5%
2 7.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 76.7% @ 1.23 / X 15.5% @ 6.10 / 2 7.9% @ 12.00
Match center

Petrocub - Politehnica UTM

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Petrocub 77.0% 75.9% market and model agree
Draw 14.7% 15.0% draw risk
Politehnica UTM 8.3% 9.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 75.9% / 15.0% / 9.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,550 / 1,237 Petrocub / Politehnica UTM
RD 208 / 277 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,134-1,966 / 684-1,790 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.80 market consensus · no value · model 9.0%
X 6.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 75.9%
Double chance
12 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 85.0%
X2 4.10 market consensus · no value · model 24.1%
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7%
x2 3.90 25.6% 4.30 23.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.68 59.5%
X 2.66 37.6%
7.20 13.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 1.5 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Petrocub
D L D W
26.07 15:00 UTC Moldova: Super Liga Standings
Petrocub 0:0 Real SiretsReal Sirets
19.07 15:00 UTC Moldova: Super Liga Standings
Petrocub 2:3 SherifSherif
11.07 15:00 UTC Moldova: Super Liga Standings
Petrocub 1:1 BeltsyBeltsy
04.07 15:00 UTC Moldova: Super Liga Standings
Petrocub 5:0 MilsamiMilsami
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Politehnica UTM
L
26.07 13:00 UTC Moldova: Super Liga Standings
Politehnica UTM 0:2 ZimbruZimbru
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPetrocub - Politehnica UTM

Petrocub
0 matches total
Politehnica UTM
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history