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Morocco. Botola Pro. Play-out. First leg
Morocco. Botola Pro. Play-out. First leg
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Morocco. Botola Pro. Play-out. First leg

Mogreb Tetuan - Stad Marokan

Futbol
M
Mogreb Tetuan
1 : 0
Finished
S
Stad Marokan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mogreb Tetuan - Stad Marokan July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mogreb Tetuan.

Line favourite market consensus: Mogreb Tetuan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 2.87 / 2 3.66
  • 1X2 market: Mogreb Tetuan 43.8% / X 31.5% / Stad Marokan 24.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 43.8%
X 31.5%
2 24.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Botola 2

Team stats

Mogreb Tetuan
LWLWDDDDWW
W 4 • D 4 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 0.8
2 place, 50 pts
Stad Marokan
LWWLWWWWWL
W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:0.9 : 0.3
6 place, 41 pts
Head-to-head: 4 — Mogreb Tetuan 2, draws 1, Stad Marokan 1 (goals 9:5)
  • Stade Marocain — Maghreb Tétouan2026-02-15 2:2
  • Stade Marocain — Maghreb Tétouan2024-03-27 0:4
  • Maghreb Tétouan — Stade Marocain2022-01-22 2:1
  • Stade Marocain — Maghreb Tétouan2021-09-11 2:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Mogreb Tetuan - Stad Marokan

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.67 market consensus · line only
X 2.88 market consensus · line only
1 2.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
2.10 47.6% 2.04 49.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0%
X 2.80 35.7% 2.93 34.1% 2.82 35.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.95 33.9%
3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.55 28.2% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.50 66.7%
yes 2.42 41.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3%
x2 1.60 62.5% 1.71 58.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.80 35.7%
X 1.83 54.6%
4.85 20.6%
Match center
Mogreb Tetuan
D
13.06 14:00 UTC Morocco: Botola 2 Standings
Mogreb Tetuan 0:0 Shabab Ben-Gerir
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Stad Marokan
W W
14.06 14:00 UTC Morocco: Botola 2 Standings
Stad Marokan 1:0 Zheness Massira
06.06 14:00 UTC Morocco: Botola 2 Standings
Stad Marokan 1:0 US Boujaad
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points