Morocco. Botola Pro. Play-out. First leg
Morocco. Botola Pro. Play-out. First leg
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Morocco. Botola Pro. Play-out. First leg

Shabab Mokhammediya - KAS Kenitra

Futbol
S
Shabab Mokhammediya
4 : 3
Finished
K
KAS Kenitra

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shabab Mokhammediya - KAS Kenitra July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shabab Mokhammediya.

Line favourite market consensus: Shabab Mokhammediya. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 2.75 / 2 3.98
  • 1X2 market: Shabab Mokhammediya 44.3% / X 32.8% / KAS Kenitra 22.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 44.4%
X 32.9%
2 22.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Botola 2

Team stats

Shabab Mokhammediya
DLDLLDLDLL
W 0 • D 4 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:0.4 : 1.6
13 place, 33 pts
KAS Kenitra
WWWDLDDWLL
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 1.2
9 place, 36 pts
Head-to-head: 3 — Shabab Mokhammediya 2, draws 1, KAS Kenitra 0 (goals 3:1)
  • KAC Kenitra — SCC Mohammédia2026-02-14 0:1
  • SCC Mohammédia — KAC Kenitra2020-03-01 1:0
  • KAC Kenitra — SCC Mohammédia2019-10-27 1:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Shabab Mokhammediya - KAS Kenitra

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.01 market consensus · line only
X 7.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.73 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0%
X 2.85 35.1% 2.77 36.1% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%
3.30 30.3% 4.00 25.0% 5.00 20.0% 4.40 22.7% 3.50 28.6% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.28 78.1% 1.56 64.1%
yes 3.20 31.3% 2.27 44.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.34 74.6% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.15 87.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.07 93.5%
x2 1.65 60.6% 1.76 56.8% 10.00 10.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.95 33.9%
X 1.70 58.8%
5.50 18.2%
Match center
Shabab Mokhammediya
D
14.06 14:00 UTC Morocco: Botola 2 Standings
Shabab Mokhammediya 1:1 Vidad Temara
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
KAS Kenitra
D
07.06 14:00 UTC Morocco: Botola 2 Standings
KAS Kenitra 1:1 Vidad Temara
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points