football.main.1x2: draw
Value Bet365 DRAW @ 2.90 (EV +11%, Pinnacle fair 38%)
Morocco. Botola Pro. Play-out. First leg
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vidad Temara.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Fonbet · historical ROI
Value Bet365 DRAW @ 2.90 (EV +11%, Pinnacle fair 38%)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 2.50 40.0% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.90 34.5% |
| 3.70 27.0% | 3.98 25.1% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 4.40 22.7% |
| 1x | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 2.25 44.4% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.29 77.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.62 61.7% | 1.43 69.9% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.71 58.5% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.98 50.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.26 44.3% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.63 38.0% |
| Over 3.0 | — | 3.28 30.5% |
| Over 3.5 | — | 3.95 25.3% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 9.50 10.5% |
| Over 5.5 | — | 23.00 4.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — |
Full head-to-head historyVidad Temara - KAS Kenitra
The Vidad Temara - KAS Kenitra breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.