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Paraguay. Cup. 1/32 Finals
Paraguay. Cup. 1/32 Finals
09.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
09.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Paraguay. Cup. 1/32 Finals

Khemis Zemamra - Union Touarga

Football
Khemis Zemamra
Khemis Zemamra
0 : 1
Finished
Union Touarga
Union Touarga

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Khemis Zemamra - Union Touarga June 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Khemis Zemamra.

Line favourite market consensus: Khemis Zemamra. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 2.70 / 2 3.13
  • 1X2 market: Khemis Zemamra 37.4% / X 33.6% / Union Touarga 29.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.3%
1 37.5%
X 33.6%
2 29.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Botola Pro
League table
Khemis Zemamra
#1126 ptsGP 237-5-1120:28
LWLDW
Union Touarga
#1320 ptsGP 233-11-923:33
WDWLL
Best price across 12 books
1 2.58 Pinnacle
X 2.88 BetVictor
2 3.55 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Khemis Zemamra
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.10 xG 0.90 xGA 1.23 Corners 4.5
1 +5.03 X -2.07 2 -2.86 1 (DNB) +3.32
Union Touarga
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.60 xG 0.95 xGA 1.35 Corners 2.5
1 -3.75 X +0.34 2 -1.01 1 (DNB) -1.89

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Khemis Zemamra
Rating 1499
Union Touarga
Rating 1441

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

football.main.1x2: draw

odds 2.88 hist. ROI +10.9%

Value BetVictor DRAW @ 2.88 (EV +11%, Pinnacle fair 38%)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Khemis Zemamra - Union Touarga

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · line only
X 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 2.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.10 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7%
X 2.80 35.7% 2.48 40.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7%
3.10 32.3% 3.45 29.0% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.23 81.3%
yes 3.60 27.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7%
1x 5.10 19.6%
x2 1.01 99.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.30 76.9%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
7.20 13.9%
8.50 11.8%
12.00 8.3%
10.00 10.0%
3.10 32.3%
9.50 10.5%
12.00 8.3%
10.00 10.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
Match center
Khemis Zemamra
W
03.06 14:00 UTC Morocco: Botola Pro Standings
Khemis Zemamra 2:1 Yakub El Mansur
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points