football.main.1x2: draw
Value Bet365 DRAW @ 3.00 (EV +7%, Pinnacle fair 36%)
Paraguay. Cup. 1/32 Finals
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Khemis Zemamra.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Fonbet · historical ROI
Value Bet365 DRAW @ 3.00 (EV +7%, Pinnacle fair 36%)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.31 43.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | |
| X | 2.88 34.7% | 2.62 38.2% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.13 32.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.60 38.5% |
| yes | 1.43 69.9% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 6.40 15.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.07 93.5% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 6.20 16.1% | |
| 7.20 13.9% | |
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 10.50 9.5% |
Full head-to-head historyKhemis Zemamra - Yakub El Mansur
The Khemis Zemamra - Yakub El Mansur breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.