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NB I
NB I Hungary
04.04.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

NB I

Hungary

Paks - Kazincbarcikai

Hungary Football
Stadium Paksi FC Stadion
Paks
Paks
5 : 1
Finished
Kazincbarcikai
Kazincbarcikai

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paks - Kazincbarcikai April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paks.

Line favourite market consensus: Paks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 5.25 / 2 8.06
  • 1X2 market: Paks 71.2% / X 17.5% / Kazincbarcikai 11.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 71.3%
X 17.4%
2 11.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.2%
Over 2.5 66.0%
Under 2.5 34.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Paks - Kazincbarcikai

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.06 market consensus · line only
X 5.25 market consensus · line only
1 1.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7%
X 5.20 19.2% 5.20 19.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2% 5.52 18.1% 5.60 17.9%
7.95 12.6% 8.00 12.5% 8.50 11.8% 7.70 13.0% 7.77 12.9% 8.50 11.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 1.97 50.8% 2.16 46.3% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
draw_away 3.12 32.1% 3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.12 32.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
home_away 1.09 91.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1% 1.09 91.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.02 98.0% 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.0 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.25 1.27 78.7%
Over 2.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.75 1.49 67.1%
Over 3.0 1.62 61.7%
Over 3.25 1.83 54.6%
Over 3.5 2.08 48.1%
Over 3.75 2.30 43.5%
Over 4.0 2.74 36.5%
Over 4.25 3.04 32.9%
Over 4.5 3.28 30.5%
Over 4.75 4.00 25.0%
Over 5.0 5.25 19.1%
Over 5.25 5.50 18.2%
Over 5.5 5.80 17.2%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPaks - Kazincbarcikai

Paks
0 matches total
Kazincbarcikai
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history