Netherlands. Premier League
Cambuur face Excelsior on August 7, 2026 in the Netherlands. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Cambuur 1-1-3, Excelsior 4-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Cambuur — 52%
Model estimate: win Cambuur 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Excelsior 28.5%. Model favourite — Cambuur.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.42 41.3% |
| yes | 1.52 65.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.45 69.0% | 1.46 68.5% |
| x2 | 1.49 67.1% | 1.49 67.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.99 33.4% | |
| X | 2.38 42.0% |
| 3.07 32.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Under 1 | 2.28 43.9% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.5 | 3.65 | 2.55 |
| Winline | 2.41 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Fonbet | 2.5 | 3.65 | 2.55 |
| Betcity | 2.5 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.36 | 3.7 | 2.65 |
Full head-to-head historyCambuur - Excelsior
The Cambuur - Excelsior breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
