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AI verdict
AI pick Twente
win probability ~69%
confidence High
best odds 1.35
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Twente. Full breakdown below.
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30.08.2026 18:00 UTC
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30.08.2026 18:00 UTC
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Netherlands. Premier League
Cambuur vs Twente — Football prediction
Stadium
Kooi Stadion
Referee
E. Blank
-
:
-
Not started
T
Twente
Cambuur face Twente in football, in Netherlands. Premier League, on 30 August 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Twente the favourite, with a win probability of about 69%. The bookmaker consensus (4 books) implies about 70% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 18%.
Detailed recent-game data is thin here, so the model leans mainly on the team ratings. Glicko ratings: Cambuur 1131, Twente 1500, a gap of 369 points. The game is part of Netherlands. Premier League.
Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. That is a 1-point gap to the market. For reliability the safer lean is a protected market on Twente (double chance, say) rather than the outright win alone. Key markers: an edge of 369 Glicko rating points, the model's 69% for Twente. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Twente — 69%
Model estimate: win Cambuur 12.9%, draw 17.8%, win Twente 69.2%. Model favourite — Twente.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 Safe pick
banker
Double chance — Twente or draw 1.07
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cambuur - Twente August 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Twente. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / X 5.30 / 2 1.35
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.2%
4 books
1
12.0%
X
17.7%
2 ✓ Pick
70.4%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Model O/U (market-implied)
Total 3.50
3 books
Over 3.50
44.3%
Under 3.50
55.7%
Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
7.70
→ 7.70
1X2 X
5.30
→ 5.30
1X2 P2
1.35
→ 1.35
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
EredivisieLeague table
Cambuur
Twente
Best price
across 13 books
1
8.50
Betfair
X
5.80
Dafabet
2
1.38
Betano
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)Cambuur
W-D-L 2-0-8
Scored 0.89
Conceded 2.91
xG 1.28
xGA 1.89
Corners 6.6
Twente
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 1.69
Conceded 1.47
xG 2.12
xGA 1.30
Corners 5.8
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Cambuur
Rating 1196
xG 0.62
Win 9%
Twente
Rating 1595
xG 2.17
Win 73%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Cambuur
12%
8.00
Draw
18%
5.40
Twente
70%
1.35
Total
Over 3.5
45%
2.12
Under 3.5
55%
1.75
Both teams to score
Yes
56%
1.69
No
44%
2.12
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Cambuur
1
:
3
Twente
17.90
X5.51
21.36
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Stadium
Kooi Stadion
Referee
E. Blank
Start
30.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market
1 12.3% @ 7.70 / X 17.8% @ 5.30 / 2 69.9% @ 1.35
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Twente 91%
📐 Math model
Twente 69%
💹 Market
Twente 70%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center
Cambuur - Twente
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
8
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Cambuur
12.0%
12.9%
Draw
17.7%
17.8%
draw risk
Twente
70.4%
69.2%
market and model agree
xG
-
0.62 : 2.17
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
12.9% / 17.8% / 69.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,131 / 1,500
Cambuur / Twente
RD
240 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
651-1,611 / 800-2,200
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.35
Fonbet · no value · model 69.2%
X
5.30
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
7.70
Fonbet · no value · model 12.9%
Double chance
12
1.14
Fonbet · no value · model 82.2%
1X
3.05
Fonbet · no value · model 30.8%
X2
1.07
Fonbet · no value · model 87.1%
Handicap
2 +1
1.48
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.10
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
2.45
Fonbet · line only
1 0
5.30
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.42
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.65
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.12
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match marketsBoth teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.12 47.2% | 2.09 47.9% |
| yes | 1.68 59.5% | 1.69 59.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.05 32.8% |
| x2 | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 6.80 14.7% | |
| X | 2.86 35.0% |
| 1.71 58.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
Match center
Cambuur
Team form
Twente
10
Matches
10
13
Goals
23
1.3
Per match
2.3
3
Wins
4
0
Draws
2
7
Losses
4
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-2, avg 2.5 gls
2023-04-09 · Kambyur 0:4 Tvente
2022-10-23 · Kambyur 0:1 Tvente
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 7.5 (Pari) · X 5.4 (Pari) · 2 1.51 (Betcity)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 7.5 | 5.4 | 1.35 |
| Winline | 6.8 | 5 | 1.36 |
| Fonbet | 7.5 | 5.4 | 1.35 |
| Betcity | 5.9 | 4.3 | 1.51 |
| Liga Stavok | 7.2 | 5.4 | 1.35 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Cambuur
L
L
L
L
L
Cambuur
Cambuur 2:5 Feyenoord
Cambuur
Fortuna Sittard 3:1 Cambuur
Cambuur
Cambuur 0:4 Excelsior
Cambuur
Bologna 3:1 Cambuur
Cambuur
Cambuur 1:2 Volos
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
1.0
Scored
3.4
Conceded
0
Points
Twente
W
L
W
D
L
Qarabag 1:2 Twente
Twente
Twente 0:1 Qarabag
Twente
Twente 3:1 PEC Zwolle
Twente
DAK 1904 Dunajska Streda 3:3 Twente
Twente
Heerenveen 1:0 Twente
Twente
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head history: Cambuur - Twente
Cambuur
8
matches total
Cambuur: 5 (62.5%)
Draws:1 (12.5%)
Twente: 2 (25%)
Biggest win
Cambuur 4:0 (09.04.23, 05:15)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (4:0, 09.04.23, 05:15)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
2:2 (03.05.19, 13:00)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Cambuur
4:0
Twente
Cambuur
0:1
Twente
Cambuur
1:0
Twente
Cambuur
2:0
Twente
Cambuur
2:2
Twente
Cambuur
0:1
Twente
Cambuur
3:1
Twente
Cambuur
3:0
Twente
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Cambuur
Team 2
Twente
Matches in history
22
Biggest draw
2:2
Highest-scoring match
4:2
Eredivizi
18 / 2 / 5 / 11 / 13 / 30
Erstedivizi
2 / 0 / 1 / 1 / 2 / 3
Cup Niderlandov
2 / 0 / 0 / 2 / 2 / 6
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
What does PropickAI predict for Cambuur vs Twente?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Twente. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
What are the bookmaker odds for Cambuur vs Twente?
Live odds for Cambuur vs Twente from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
When does Cambuur vs Twente start?
August 30, 2026.