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Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
03.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

ADO 20 Khemskerk - Eysselmervogels

Football
A
ADO 20 Khemskerk
0 : 7
Finished
Eysselmervogels
Eysselmervogels

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction ADO 20 Khemskerk - Eysselmervogels June 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eysselmervogels.

Line favourite market consensus: Eysselmervogels. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.11 / 2 2.39
  • 1X2 market: ADO 20 Khemskerk 32.7% / X 29.4% / Eysselmervogels 38.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 32.7%
X 29.2%
2 38.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Tweede Divisie
League table
ADO 20 Khemskerk
not in table
Eysselmervogels
#1631 ptsGP 349-4-2146:65
WWLDW
Best price across 11 books
1 2.95 Superbet
X 3.40 BetVictor
2 2.57 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)
ADO 20 Khemskerk
Rating 1415 xG 1.21 Win 31%
Eysselmervogels
Rating 1499 xG 1.46 Win 43%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

football.main.1x2: draw

odds 3.40 hist. ROI +13.2%

Value BetVictor DRAW @ 3.40 (EV +13%, Pinnacle fair 33%)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center
Start 03.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

ADO 20 Khemskerk - Eysselmervogels

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.80 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.77 36.1% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.20 31.3% 2.89 34.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
2.30 43.5% 2.44 41.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.30 76.9%
yes 3.10 32.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.04 96.2%
1x 5.80 17.2%
x2 1.01 99.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
8.00 12.5%
9.00 11.1%
12.00 8.3%
3.75 26.7%
1.18 84.8%
5.00 20.0%
11.50 8.7%
11.00 9.1%
1.04 96.2%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.20 83.3%
4.10 24.4%
1.12 89.3%
5.20 19.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%