football.main.1x2: p1
Value Unibet HOME @ 2.35 (EV +5%, Pinnacle fair 45%)
Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ekselsior Massleys.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Fonbet · historical ROI
Value Unibet HOME @ 2.35 (EV +5%, Pinnacle fair 45%)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 2.80 35.7% | 2.96 33.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.92 34.3% | 2.88 34.7% | 3.00 33.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 2.12 47.2% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 3.10 32.3% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 1.12 89.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 6.80 14.7% | |
| 8.00 12.5% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 10.50 9.5% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.87 53.5% |
Ekselsior Massleys
Eysselmervogels
Full head-to-head historyEkselsior Massleys - Eysselmervogels
The Ekselsior Massleys - Eysselmervogels breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.