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Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

13.06.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

13.06.2026 11:00 UTC

Finished

Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

Eysselmervogels - Ekselsior Massleys

Football

Eysselmervogels

2 : 0

Finished

Ekselsior Massleys

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eysselmervogels - Ekselsior Massleys June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eysselmervogels.

Line favourite market consensus: Eysselmervogels. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.37 / X 3.58 / 2 2.52
1X2 market: Eysselmervogels 38.4% / X 25.4% / Ekselsior Massleys 36.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%

1 38.4%

X 25.4%

2 36.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Tweede Divisie

League table

Eysselmervogels

#1631 ptsGP 349-4-2146:65

LWWWW

Ekselsior Massleys

#1731 ptsGP 348-7-1939:58

WWLWD

Best price across 11 books

1 2.48 Dafabet

X 3.80 Pinnacle

2 2.80 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)

Eysselmervogels

Rating 1481 xG 1.44 Win 40%

Ekselsior Massleys

Rating 1486 xG 1.33 Win 35%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

football.main.1x2: p2

odds 2.80 hist. ROI +5.1%

Value Unibet AWAY @ 2.80 (EV +5%, Pinnacle fair 38%)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center

Start 13.06.2026 11:00 UTC

Match center

Eysselmervogels - Ekselsior Massleys

Form 3/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.50 market consensus · line only

X 6.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.09 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.02 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 4.90 Fonbet · line only

2 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Yes 4.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	BetVictor	Dafabet
	2.35 42.6%	2.35 42.6%	2.25 44.4%	2.42 41.3%	2.40 41.7%	2.48 40.3%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%
	2.50 40.0%	2.44 41.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.55 39.2%	2.55 39.2%	2.65 37.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.16 86.2%
yes	4.30 23.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.09 91.7%
1x	1.02 98.0%
x2	13.00 7.7%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.13 88.5%
	1.09 91.7%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.70 58.8%
	4.30 23.3%
	8.50 11.8%
	9.50 10.5%
	12.00 8.3%
	1.02 98.0%
	4.90 20.4%
	5.70 17.5%
	11.50 8.7%
	2.02 49.5%
	1.16 86.2%
	1.03 97.1%
	1.02 98.0%
	1.01 99.0%
	9.50 10.5%

Match center

Eysselmervogels

L W W

10.06 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

Eysselmervogels 1:2 Ekselsior Massleys

06.06 11:00 UTC Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

Eysselmervogels 1:0 ADO 20 Khemskerk

03.06 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

Eysselmervogels 7:0 ADO 20 Khemskerk

2 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

3.0 Scored

0.7 Conceded

6 Points

Ekselsior Massleys

W W L

10.06 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

Ekselsior Massleys 2:1 Eysselmervogels

06.06 10:30 UTC Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

Ekselsior Massleys 2:1 Rijnvogels

03.06 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

Ekselsior Massleys 1:2 Rijnvogels

2 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.7 Scored

1.3 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyEysselmervogels - Ekselsior Massleys

Eysselmervogels

1 matches total

Ekselsior Massleys

Eysselmervogels: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Ekselsior Massleys: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Ekselsior Massleys 1:2 (10.06 16:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 10.06 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

10.06 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

Eysselmervogels

1:2

Ekselsior Massleys