Netherlands: Second Division - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ekselsior Massleys.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Fonbet · historical ROI
Value Bet365 DRAW @ 3.70 (EV +14%, Pinnacle fair 31%)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | 3.44 29.1% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 2.70 37.0% | 3.25 30.8% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.00 50.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 5.50 18.2% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.55 64.5% |
Full head-to-head historyRijnvogels - Ekselsior Massleys
The Rijnvogels - Ekselsior Massleys breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
