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New Zealand. National League. Central League
New Zealand. National League. Central League
04.07.2026 01:45 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 01:45 UTC
Finished

New Zealand. National League. Central League

Island Bay - Miramar

Football
I
Island Bay
1 : 3
Finished
Miramar
Miramar

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Island Bay - Miramar July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Miramar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 12.50 / X 5.70 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 24.6%
1 6.4%
X 14.1%
2 79.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Island Bay
No data
Miramar
  • Luis Mendes Pyana (Stadium) (Montevideo) · 4 000 seats
  • Founded in 1980

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 01:45 UTC
Match center

Island Bay - Miramar

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 5.70 Fonbet · line only
1 8.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.72 58.1% 2.16 46.3%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.11 90.1%
1x 11.50 8.7%
x2 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
7.70 13.0%
X 2.82 35.5%
1.60 62.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 1.5 1.83 54.6%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIsland Bay - Miramar

Island Bay
0 matches total
Miramar
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history