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New Zealand. National League. Central League
New Zealand. National League. Central League
04.07.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand. National League. Central League

Nelson Suburbs - Northern AFC

Futbol
N
Nelson Suburbs
5 : 0
Finished
Northern AFC
Northern AFC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nelson Suburbs - Northern AFC July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nelson Suburbs. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 13.00 / 2 5.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 25.9%
1 78.6%
X 6.1%
2 15.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Nelson Suburbs - Northern AFC

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.99 market consensus · line only
X 4.42 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.44 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.71 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.16 86.2% 2.82 35.5%
yes 4.40 22.7% 1.38 72.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.03 97.1%
x2 2.37 42.2% 2.50 40.0% 11.00 9.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.94 51.6%
X 2.53 39.5%
5.00 20.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 1.5 1.83 54.6%