Nicaragua. Primera Division
Rancho Santana - Sport Sebaco
Rancho Santana take on Sport Sebaco on August 1, 2026 in the Nicaragua. Primera Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Rancho Santana 0-0-2, Sport Sebaco 1-1-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Sport Sebaco — 50%
Pure model vs market (2 · Sport Sebaco): model 54% · market 53% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Rancho Santana 25.2%, draw 24.8%, win Sport Sebaco 50.0%. Model favourite — Sport Sebaco.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Sport Sebaco: probability 61% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 0:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rancho Santana - Sport Sebaco August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.40 / X 3.69 / 2 1.75
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Rancho Santana - Sport Sebaco
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.04 49.0% |
| yes | 1.71 58.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.91 52.4% | 2.06 48.5% |
| x2 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.17 85.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.02 24.9% | |
| X | 2.39 41.8% |
| 2.31 43.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| 3.27 30.6% | 3.30 30.3% | — | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 2.35 42.6% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | 1.28 78.1% | — |
Full head-to-head historyRancho Santana - Sport Sebaco
Match history
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The Rancho Santana - Sport Sebaco breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form