Nicaragua. Primera Division
San Marcos go head-to-head with Managua on August 1, 2026 in the Nicaragua. Primera Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): San Marcos 0-2-0, Managua 2-0-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Managua — 60%
Pure model vs market (2 · Managua): model 41% · market 66% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win San Marcos 18.4%, draw 22.0%, win Managua 59.6%. Model favourite — Managua.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% |
| yes | 1.81 55.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 2.60 38.5% | 2.90 34.5% |
| x2 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.04 96.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 6.00 16.7% | |
| X | 2.42 41.3% |
| 1.92 52.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.92 52.1% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.74 57.5% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% | — | |
| — | — | 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.96 51.0% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | — |
Diriangen
Full head-to-head historySan Marcos - Managua
The San Marcos - Managua breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
