AI verdict

AI pick Viking win probability ~83% confidence High best odds 1.09

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Viking. Full breakdown below.

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NM Cup
NM Cup
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.09.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

NM Cup

Brodd vs Viking — Football prediction

Football
Stadium Vångavallen
B
Brodd
- : -
Not started
Viking
Viking

Brodd take on Viking in football, in NM Cup, on 2 September 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Viking as the favourite at around 83%. Sportsbook prices (5 books) put that result at roughly 86%. The model puts the chance of a draw at 11%.

Latest form: Brodd 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost; Viking 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost. Glicko ratings: Brodd 1580, Viking 1704, a gap of 125 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is high. That is a 3-point gap to the market. For reliability the safer lean is a protected market on Viking (double chance, say) rather than the outright win alone. Key markers: an edge of 125 Glicko rating points, the model's 83% for Viking. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Viking83%

1 · Brodd6.0%
market 4%
X · draw10.8%
market 10%
2 · Viking ✓ Pick83.2%
market 86%

Model estimate: win Brodd 6.0%, draw 10.8%, win Viking 83.2%. Model favourite — Viking.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Double chance Viking or draw 1.01

Model confidence 93% ~93% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brodd - Viking September 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Viking. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 13.00 / X 10.00 / 2 1.09

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 5 books · best price +2.8%
1 4.2%
X 10.0%
2 ✓ Pick 85.9%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Model O/U (market-implied)

Total 4.50 2 books
Over 4.50 46.8%
Under 4.50 53.2%

Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

NM Cupen
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Brodd
W-D-L 0-0-6 Scored 0.78 Conceded 2.73 xG 0.97 xGA 2.62
Viking
W-D-L 8-1-1 Scored 3.19 Conceded 0.49 xG 2.17 xGA 1.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Brodd
5%
24.00
Draw
10%
10.00
Viking
85%
1.09
Total
Over 4.5
48%
1.98
Under 4.5
52%
1.84

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Brodd 2 : 2 Viking
122.00
X8.90
21.05

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium Vångavallen
Start 02.09.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 7.0% @ 13.00 / X 9.1% @ 10.00 / 2 83.8% @ 1.09
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Viking 83%
💹 Market Viking 86%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Brodd - Viking

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Brodd 4.0% 6.0%
Draw 10.0% 10.8% draw risk
Viking 86.0% 83.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 6.0% / 10.8% / 83.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,580 / 1,704 Brodd / Viking
RD 178 / 144 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,224-1,935 / 1,416-1,993 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 83.2%
X 9.36 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 89.2%
1X 6.20 market consensus · no value · model 16.8%
X2 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 94.0%
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0%
1x 6.30 15.9% 7.30 13.7% 5.60 17.9% 5.60 17.9%
x2 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
13.60 7.4%
X 3.28 30.5%
1.37 73.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 2 2.21 45.3%
Under 1.5 2.12 47.2%
Under 2 1.59 62.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

BroddLDWL
VikingWWDLWWDWWL
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 31 (Betcity) · X 8.8 (Betcity) · 2 1.07 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 25 8.5 1.05
Winline 22 8.4 1.07
Fonbet 25 8.5 1.05
Betcity 31 8.8 1.05
Liga Stavok 23 8.8 1.07
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Brodd
W D W L L
30.08 12:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Brodd 3:1 Viking 2Viking 2
02.08 16:00 UTC+0 Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 4 Standings
Brodd 0:0 Stabek 2
26.07 10:00 UTC+0 Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 4 Standings
Brodd 4:1 Akra
13.06 10:00 UTC+0 Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 4 Standings
Brodd 1:3 Mandalskameratene
31.05 09:00 UTC+0 Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 4 Standings
Brodd 1:4 Viking 2Viking 2
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Viking
W D D W D
30.08 15:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Viking 2:1 OlesunnOlesunn
14.08 17:00 UTC+0 Norway: Premier League Standings
Viking 1:1 RusenborgRusenborg
08.08 14:00 UTC+0 1. Liga
Viking 1:1 Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
01.08 16:00 UTC+0 1. Liga
Viking 3:0 IK StartIK Start
26.07 15:15 UTC+0 Norway: Premier League Standings
Viking 1:1 OlesunnOlesunn
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Brodd - Viking

Brodd
0 matches total
Viking
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Brodd vs Viking?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Viking. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Brodd vs Viking?

Live odds for Brodd vs Viking from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Brodd vs Viking start?

September 2, 2026.