North American Leagues Cup. Group stage
Cruz Azul face Philadelphia Union on August 7, 2026 in the North American Leagues Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Cruz Azul 3-1-1, Philadelphia Union 3-1-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Cruz Azul — 64%
Model estimate: win Cruz Azul 63.8%, draw 17.6%, win Philadelphia Union 18.6%. Model favourite — Cruz Azul.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.54 39.4% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.39 71.9% | 1.42 70.4% |
| x2 | 1.46 68.5% | 1.49 67.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.04 32.9% | |
| X | 2.36 42.4% |
| 3.05 32.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.28 43.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 1.85 | 3.6 | 1.96 |
Cruz Azul
Full head-to-head historyCruz Azul - Philadelphia Union
The Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
