Minnesota United meet Juarez on August 5, 2026 in the North American Leagues Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Minnesota United 0-3-2, Juarez 1-1-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Minnesota United — 54%
Pure model vs market (1 · Minnesota United): model 59% · market 53%Δ +6 ppmodel estimates above the market
54%1
1 · Minnesota United53.7%
X · draw24.0%
2 · Juarez22.3%
Model estimate: win Minnesota United 53.7%, draw 24.0%, win Juarez 22.3%. Model favourite — Minnesota United.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Minnesota United (odds1.75)Score 2:1confidence 50%
•Model backs Minnesota: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
•no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
•Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Minnesota United - Juarez August 5, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Minnesota United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / X 3.85 / 2 4.30
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.4%
3 books
153.4%
X24.2%
222.4%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P11.70↑ 1.75
1X2 X3.85→ 3.85
1X2 P24.40↓ 4.30
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
Leagues Cup
Best price
across 14 books
11.82Betano
X4.10Betano
24.50Unibet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Minnesota United2:1Juarez
11.77
X3.75
24.14
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 01:45 UTC
152%✓ favourite
X26%
222%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:1X and Under 3.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 01:49 UTC
151%✓ favourite
X27%
222%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:Under 2.5 (ot 1.70)
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
52%
26%
22%
1:0
Under 2.5
No
1X and Under 3.5
Claude
51%
27%
22%
1:0
Under 2.5
No
Under 2.5 (ot 1.70)
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Minnesota United53.4%53.7%market and model agree
Draw24.2%24.0%draw risk
Juarez22.4%22.3%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P253.7% / 24.0% / 22.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,484 / 1,152
Minnesota United / Juarez
RD221 / 221
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,041-1,927 / 711-1,594
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
24.30
Fonbet · no value · model 22.3%
X3.85
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.75
Fonbet · no value · model 53.7%
Double chance
121.25
Fonbet · no value · model 76.0%
1X1.20
Fonbet · no value · model 77.7%
X22.00
Fonbet · no value · model 46.3%
Handicap
2 -11.60
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.52.03
market consensus · line only
2 +16.70
Fonbet · line only
2 03.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.70
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.52.10
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.13
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.68
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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