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North American Leagues Cup. Group stage
North American Leagues Cup. Group stage
05.08.2026 23:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 23:30 UTC
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North American Leagues Cup. Group stage

Monterrey - Orlando City

Football
Monterrey
Monterrey
- : -
Not started
O
Orlando City

Monterrey take on Orlando City on August 5, 2026 in the North American Leagues Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Monterrey 3-0-2, Orlando City 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Monterrey — 44%

Pure model vs market (1 · Monterrey): model 53% · market 43% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Monterrey43.5%
X · draw24.0%
2 · Orlando City32.5%

Model estimate: win Monterrey 43.5%, draw 24.0%, win Orlando City 32.5%. Model favourite — Monterrey.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Monterrey (odds1.89) Score 2:1 confidence 53%
  • • Model backs Monterrey: probability 53% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.89)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monterrey - Orlando City August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Monterrey. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.18 / X 3.90 / 2 2.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6% 2 books
1 42.9%
X 24.2%
2 32.9%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Leagues Cup
Best price across 13 books
1 2.40 Bet365
X 4.08 Pinnacle
2 2.79 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Monterrey
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.91 Conceded 1.66 xG 1.80 xGA 1.20 Corners 5.8
Orlando City
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.78 Conceded 1.27 xG 1.84 xGA 1.41 Corners 5.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 00:51 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
X 23%
2 19%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated04.08.2026 00:57 UTC
1 40% ✓ favourite
X 25%
2 35%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:BTTS (both to score) — Yes

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 58% 23% 19% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes
Claude 40% 25% 35% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes BTTS (both to score) — Yes

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 43.0% @ 2.18 / X 24.1% @ 3.90 / 2 32.9% @ 2.85
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Monterrey 49%
📐 Math model Monterrey 44%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Monterrey - Orlando City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Monterrey 42.9% 43.5% market and model agree
Draw 24.2% 24.0% draw risk
Orlando City 32.9% 32.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 43.5% / 24.0% / 32.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,726 / 1,557 Monterrey / Orlando City
RD 234 / 230 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,258-2,194 / 1,097-2,017 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.83 market consensus · no value · model 32.5%
X 3.85 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.17 market consensus · no value · model 43.5%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 76.0%
1X 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 67.5%
X2 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 56.5%
Handicap
2 0 2.13 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.80 35.7%
yes 1.40 71.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9%
x2 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.77 36.1%
X 2.51 39.8%
3.12 32.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.06 48.5%
Under 1.5 1.71 58.5%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.25 (Fonbet) · X 4 (Pari) · 2 2.85 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.2 4 2.75
Winline 1.75 3.7 2.08
Fonbet 2.25 4 2.7
Betcity 2.18 3.9 2.85
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Monterrey
W L W L W
2026-08-02 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Monterrey Atlas 0:2 Monterrey
2026-07-26 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Monterrey Necaxa 2:1 Monterrey
2026-07-19 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Monterrey Monterrey 3:2 Santos Laguna
2026-04-26 Liga MX, Clausura 2026
Monterrey Santos Laguna 3:0 Monterrey
2026-04-22 Liga MX, Clausura 2026
Monterrey Monterrey 2:1 Puebla
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Orlando City
L W W L W
2026-08-01 MLS 2026
New York Red Bulls 3:2 Orlando City Orlando City
2026-07-26 MLS 2026
Orlando City 1:0 Nashville Orlando City
2026-07-23 MLS 2026
San Jose Earthquakes 0:4 Orlando City Orlando City
2026-05-23 MLS 2026
Cincinnati 6:2 Orlando City Orlando City
2026-05-19 US Open Cup 2026
Orlando City 4:1 Atlanta United Orlando City
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonterrey - Orlando City

Monterrey
0 matches total
Orlando City
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history