New York City meet Santos Laguna on August 6, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): New York City 2-1-2, Santos Laguna 1-0-4. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1New York City — 59%
Pure model vs market (1 · New York City): model 59% · market 59%Δ 0 ppmodel estimate matches the market
59%1
1 · New York City ✓ Pick58.7%
market59%
X · draw22.3%
market22%
2 · Santos Laguna18.9%
market19%
Model estimate: win New York City 58.7%, draw 22.3%, win Santos Laguna 18.9%. Model favourite — New York City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1New York City (odds1.78)Score 2:1confidence 56%
•Model backs Nyu-York Siti: probability 56% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
•no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
•Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction New York City - Santos Laguna August 6, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: New York City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.4%
2 books
1 ✓ Pick58.8%
X22.4%
218.8%
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Leagues Cup
Best price
across 13 books
11.66Unibet
X4.45Betano
25.4010Bet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 01:02 UTC
155%✓ favourite
X25%
220%
Score2:1Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:1X and Over 2.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0-0
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 01:06 UTC
158%✓ favourite
X23%
219%
Score2:0Total goals: Under 3.5BTTS:NoBet:Double chance 1X (~81%), v svyazke s Under 3.5
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
55%
25%
20%
2:1
Over 2.5
Yes
1X and Over 2.5
Claude
58%
23%
19%
2:0
Under 3.5
No
Double chance 1X (~81%), v svyazke s Under 3.5
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
New York City58.8%58.7%market and model agree
Draw22.4%22.3%draw risk
Santos Laguna18.8%18.9%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P258.7% / 22.3% / 18.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,601 / 1,298
Nyu-York Siti / Santos Laguna
RD246 / 219
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,110-2,092 / 859-1,736
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
24.95
market consensus · no value · model 18.9%
X4.15
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.59
market consensus · no value · model 58.7%
Double chance
121.19
market consensus · no value · model 77.7%
1X1.14
market consensus · no value · model 81.1%
X22.23
market consensus · no value · model 41.3%
Handicap
2 +11.83
market consensus · line only
1 -11.91
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No2.23
market consensus · line only
Yes1.61
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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