North American Leagues Cup. Group stage
Portland Timbers take on Puebla on August 7, 2026 in the North American Leagues Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Portland Timbers 3-1-1, Puebla 1-1-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Portland Timbers — 56%
Model estimate: win Portland Timbers 56.0%, draw 19.2%, win Puebla 24.8%. Model favourite — Portland Timbers.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.44 41.0% |
| yes | 1.52 65.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.21 82.6% |
| 1x | 1.16 86.2% | 1.18 84.8% |
| x2 | 2.07 48.3% | 2.12 47.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.18 45.9% | |
| X | 2.51 39.8% |
| 4.48 22.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.64 61.0% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 1.44 | 3.85 | 2.82 |
Portland Timbers
Puebla
Full head-to-head historyPortland Timbers - Puebla
The Portland Timbers - Puebla breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
