North American Leagues Cup. Group stage
Toluca take on Seattle Sounders on August 6, 2026 in the North American Leagues Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Toluca 2-1-2, Seattle Sounders 0-0-5. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Toluca — 65%
Model estimate: win Toluca 64.7%, draw 17.3%, win Seattle Sounders 18.0%. Model favourite — Toluca.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% |
| yes | 1.83 54.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% |
| x2 | 2.83 35.3% | 2.90 34.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.81 55.3% | |
| X | 2.56 39.1% |
| 7.30 13.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.33 42.9% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.35 | 5 | 7.7 |
| Fonbet | 1.38 | 4.9 | 7.2 |
| Betcity | 1.38 | 5 | 7.2 |
Toluca
Seattle Sounders
Full head-to-head historyToluca - Seattle Sounders
The Toluca - Seattle Sounders breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
