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Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg
Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg
29.07.2026 11:00 UTC
29.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Not started

Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg

Fredrikstad U19 - Stabaek U19

Football
F
Fredrikstad U19
- : -
Not started
S
Stabaek U19
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Stabaek U19 — 50%

Pure model vs market (2 · Stabaek U19): model 33% · market 56% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Fredrikstad U1931.3%
X · draw19.0%
2 · Stabaek U1949.8%

Model estimate: win Fredrikstad U19 31.3%, draw 19.0%, win Stabaek U19 49.8%. Model favourite — Stabaek U19.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fredrikstad U19 - Stabaek U19 July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stabaek U19.

Line favourite market consensus: Stabaek U19. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.47 / X 5.00 / 2 1.63
  • 1X2 market: Fredrikstad U19 26.3% / X 18.1% / Stabaek U19 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 26.2%
X 18.2%
2 55.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Fredrikstad U19 2 : 2 Stabaek U19
13.12
X5.10
21.74

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 11:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Stabaek U19 50%
💹 Market Stabaek U19 5558%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Fredrikstad U19 - Stabaek U19

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fredrikstad U19 30.4% 31.3%
Draw 18.7% 19.0% draw risk
Stabaek U19 50.8% 49.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.3% / 19.0% / 49.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Fredrikstad U19 / Stabaek U19
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.73 market consensus · no value · model 49.8%
X 4.89 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.20 market consensus · no value · model 31.3%
Double chance
12 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 81.0%
1X 1.65 market consensus · no value · model 50.2%
X2 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 68.7%
Handicap
2 -1 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.60 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.65 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.16 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 4.25 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365 Betfair William Hill
3.10 32.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
X 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%
1.73 57.8% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 4.38 22.8%
yes 1.17 85.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.08 92.6% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.58 63.3% 1.72 58.1%
x2 1.33 75.2% 1.44 69.4%

Exact Score

Outcome Bet365
0_0 34.00 2.9%
0_1 26.00 3.9%
0_2 21.00 4.8%
0_3 21.00 4.8%
0_4 26.00 3.9%
0_5 41.00 2.4%
0_6 51.00 2.0%
0_7 67.00 1.5%
1_0 34.00 2.9%
1_1 15.00 6.7%
1_2 13.00 7.7%
1_3 13.00 7.7%
1_4 19.00 5.3%
1_5 29.00 3.5%
1_6 41.00 2.4%
1_7 67.00 1.5%
2_0 34.00 2.9%
2_1 17.00 5.9%