Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. Second leg
Lillestrøm U19 meet Aalesunds U19 on August 6, 2026 in the Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. Second leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lillestrøm U19 0-0-1, Aalesunds U19 1-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Lillestrøm U19 — 67%
Pure model vs market (1 · Lillestrøm U19): model 44% · market 69% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Lillestrøm U19 67.2%, draw 16.0%, win Aalesunds U19 16.8%. Model favourite — Lillestrøm U19.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.94 34.0% |
| yes | 1.35 74.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.05 95.2% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 2.83 35.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| X | 3.06 32.7% |
| 5.70 17.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Under 0.5 | 5.80 17.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.14 46.7% |
Full head-to-head historyLillestrøm U19 - Aalesunds U19
The Lillestrøm U19 - Aalesunds U19 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
