Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg
Molde U19 - Rosenborg U19
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Molde U19 — 52%
Pure model vs market (1 · Molde U19): model 44% · market 53% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Molde U19 52.4%, draw 18.1%, win Rosenborg U19 29.5%. Model favourite — Molde U19.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Molde U19 - Rosenborg U19 July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Molde U19.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 5.00 / 2 3.10
- 1X2 market: Molde U19 53.0% / X 18.0% / Rosenborg U19 29.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Molde U19 - Rosenborg U19
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | Bet365 |
|---|---|
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| X | 5.00 20.0% |
| 3.10 32.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 4.30 23.3% |
| yes | 1.18 84.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.23 81.3% | 1.32 75.8% |
| x2 | 1.81 55.3% | 2.00 50.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | Bet365 |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_1 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 1_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 1_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_5 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 2_0 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 2_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_5 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 3_0 | 21.00 4.8% |
Full head-to-head historyMolde U19 - Rosenborg U19
Match history
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The Molde U19 - Rosenborg U19 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form