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Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg
Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg
30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Not started

Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg

Molde U19 - Rosenborg U19

Football
M
Molde U19
- : -
Not started
R
Rosenborg U19
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Molde U19 — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Molde U19): model 44% · market 53% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Molde U1952.4%
X · draw18.2%
2 · Rosenborg U1929.4%

Model estimate: win Molde U19 52.4%, draw 18.2%, win Rosenborg U19 29.4%. Model favourite — Molde U19.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Molde U19 - Rosenborg U19 July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Molde U19.

Line favourite market consensus: Molde U19. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 5.00 / 2 3.10
  • 1X2 market: Molde U19 53.0% / X 18.0% / Rosenborg U19 29.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.1%
1 53.0%
X 18.0%
2 29.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Molde U19 3 : 3 Rosenborg U19
11.74
X5.10
23.12

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Molde U19 52%
💹 Market Molde U19 5295%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Molde U19 - Rosenborg U19

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Molde U19 52.9% 52.4% market and model agree
Draw 17.9% 18.2% draw risk
Rosenborg U19 29.2% 29.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.4% / 18.2% / 29.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Molde U19 / Rosenborg U19
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.09 market consensus · no value · model 29.4%
X 5.02 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.70 market consensus · no value · model 52.4%
Double chance
12 1.10 market consensus · no value · model 81.8%
1X 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 70.6%
X2 1.91 market consensus · no value · model 47.6%
Handicap
2 +1 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.58 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.10 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 5.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365
1.70 58.8%
X 5.00 20.0%
3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 4.02 24.9%
yes 1.20 83.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.06 94.3% 1.13 88.5%
1x 1.23 81.3% 1.32 75.8%
x2 1.81 55.3% 2.00 50.0%

Exact Score

Outcome Bet365
0_0 34.00 2.9%
0_1 34.00 2.9%
0_2 34.00 2.9%
0_3 41.00 2.4%
0_4 51.00 2.0%
1_0 26.00 3.9%
1_1 15.00 6.7%
1_2 17.00 5.9%
1_3 23.00 4.4%
1_4 34.00 2.9%
1_5 51.00 2.0%
2_0 21.00 4.8%
2_1 13.00 7.7%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 19.00 5.3%
2_4 34.00 2.9%
2_5 51.00 2.0%
3_0 21.00 4.8%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMolde U19 - Rosenborg U19

Molde U19
0 matches total
Rosenborg U19
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history