Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. Second leg
Stabæk U19 take on Fredrikstad FK U19 on August 6, 2026 in the Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. Second leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Stabæk U19 0-0-1, Fredrikstad FK U19 1-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Stabæk U19 — 66%
Pure model vs market (1 · Stabæk U19): model 26% · market 69% Δ −43 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Stabæk U19 66.3%, draw 15.6%, win Fredrikstad FK U19 18.1%. Model favourite — Stabæk U19.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 3.06 32.7% |
| yes | 1.33 75.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.05 95.2% | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 2.83 35.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| X | 3.04 32.9% |
| 5.50 18.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 2 | 2.17 46.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 6.10 16.4% |
| Under 2 | 1.61 62.1% |
Full head-to-head historyStabæk U19 - Fredrikstad FK U19
The Stabæk U19 - Fredrikstad FK U19 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
