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Norway. Division 1
Norway. Division 1
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Norway. Division 1

Egersunds - Moss

Futbol
E
Egersunds
3 : 0
Finished
M
Moss

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Egersunds - Moss July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Egersunds.

Line favourite market consensus: Egersunds. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.70 / 2 3.08
  • 1X2 market: Egersunds 45.4% / X 24.8% / Moss 29.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 45.4%
X 24.8%
2 29.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • OBOS-ligaen

Team stats

Egersunds
LWLLDLLLWL
W 2 • D 1 • L 7 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 2.5
10 place, 16 pts
Moss
WLLWDLDWLL
W 3 • D 2 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1.8 : 2.5
9 place, 17 pts
Head-to-head: 4 — Egersunds 4, draws 0, Moss 0 (goals 11:5)
  • Egersund — Moss2025-10-22 2:0
  • Moss — Egersund2025-06-28 2:4
  • Egersund — Moss2024-08-26 3:2
  • Moss — Egersund2024-04-27 1:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Egersunds
No recent matches
Moss
Well rested
  • Rest days: 7
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Egersunds - Moss

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.09 market consensus · line only
X 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 5.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.91 52.4% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.72 26.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.16 86.2% 2.72 36.8%
yes 4.40 22.7% 1.41 70.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.07 93.5%
x2 1.69 59.2% 1.70 58.8% 9.50 10.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.46 40.7%
X 2.34 42.7%
3.62 27.6%
Match center
Egersunds
L L
14.06 12:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Egersunds 1:3 Stabek
31.05 13:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Egersunds 0:5 Stremsgodset
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Moss
W
14.06 12:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Moss 4:2 Sogndal
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEgersunds - Moss

Egersunds
0 matches total
Moss
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history