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Norway. Division 1
Norway. Division 1
01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

Norway. Division 1

Egersund - Sandnes ULF

Football
E
Egersund
- : -
Not started
S
Sandnes ULF
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Egersund51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Egersund): model 49% · market 50% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Egersund50.6%
X · draw24.1%
2 · Sandnes ULF25.3%

Model estimate: win Egersund 50.6%, draw 24.1%, win Sandnes ULF 25.3%. Model favourite — Egersund.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Egersund (odds1.82) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Egersund: probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Egersund - Sandnes ULF August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Egersund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.80 / 2 3.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 50.5%
X 24.4%
2 25.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

1. Division
League table
Egersund
#820 ptsGP 156-2-727:28
ARRAY
Sandnes ULF
#920 ptsGP 156-2-723:26
ARRAY
Best price across 12 books
1 2.03 SBO
X 3.82 Pinnacle
2 3.60 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Egersund
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 1.71 Conceded 2.50 xG 1.66 xGA 1.64
Sandnes ULF
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.81 xG 1.54 xGA 1.64

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Egersund
Rating 1480 xG 1.65 Win 46%
Sandnes ULF
Rating 1459 xG 1.28 Win 30%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 50.5% @ 1.84 / X 24.4% @ 3.80 / 2 25.1% @ 3.70
Match center

Egersund - Sandnes ULF

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Egersund 50.7% 50.6% market and model agree
Draw 24.3% 24.1% draw risk
Sandnes ULF 25.0% 25.3%
xG - 1.59 : 1.27

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.6% / 24.1% / 25.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,466 / 1,396 Egersunds / Sannes Ulf
RD 179 / 203 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,108-1,824 / 990-1,802 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.64 market consensus · no value · model 25.3%
X 3.76 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.82 market consensus · no value · model 50.6%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 75.9%
1X 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 74.7%
X2 1.86 market consensus · no value · model 49.4%
Handicap
2 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.80 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.40 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.38 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.46 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.46 40.7%
yes 1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.19 84.0% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3%
x2 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.33 42.9%
X 2.34 42.7%
3.94 25.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.16 46.3%
Under 1.5 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Egersund
D W L L
26.07 13:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Egersund 3:3 Osane
04.07 10:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Egersund 3:0 Moss
14.06 12:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Egersund 1:3 Stabek
31.05 13:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Egersund 0:5 Stremsgodset
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.8 Conceded
4 Points
Sandnes ULF
L D W L
26.07 13:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Sandnes ULF 1:6 Kongsvinger
04.07 14:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Sandnes ULF 1:1 Bryune
14.06 12:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Sandnes ULF 2:0 Stremmen
31.05 13:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Sandnes ULF 1:5 Rankheym
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
3.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEgersund - Sandnes ULF

Egersund
0 matches total
Sandnes ULF
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history