Match center
Start
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished
Norway. Division 1
Hodd - Stromsgodset
H
Hodd
4
:
3
Finished
S
Stromsgodset
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hodd - Stromsgodset July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Hodd. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / X 4.30 / 2 1.43
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 76.5%
1
47.2%
X
13.2%
2
39.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • OBOS-ligaen
Team stats
Hodd
DWWDLWLLDW
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 1.2
8 place, 18 pts
Stromsgodset
DWWWDWWWDD
W 6 • D 4 • L 0 (10)
Goals average:3.1 : 1.3
2 place, 28 pts
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Hodd
Well rested- Rest days: 7
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Stromsgodset
Well rested- Rest days: 7
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Match center
Hodd - Stromsgodset
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.42
market consensus · line only
X
4.30
Fonbet · line only
1
1.20
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.17
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
3.80
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
3.20
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.28
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
6.00
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.08
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 6.00 16.7% | 2.52 39.7% |
| yes | 1.08 92.6% | 1.46 68.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.17 85.5% |
| 1x | 2.60 38.5% | 2.60 38.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% | 3.80 26.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.30 18.9% | |
| X | 2.69 37.2% |
| 1.82 55.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.79 55.9% |
Match center
Hodd
L
L
Hodd
1:2
Kongsvinger
Hodd
0:1
Bryune
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
0.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
0
Points
Stromsgodset
W
W
Stromsgodset
6:1
Raufoss
Stromsgodset
5:0
Egersund
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
5.5
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyHodd - Stromsgodset
Hodd
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals