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Norway. Division 1
Norway. Division 1
03.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Norway. Division 1

Kongsvinger - Sogndal

Futbol
K
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Finished
S
Sogndal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kongsvinger - Sogndal July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kongsvinger.

Line favourite market consensus: Kongsvinger. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.52 / X 4.54 / 2 4.79
  • 1X2 market: Kongsvinger 60.4% / X 20.3% / Sogndal 19.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 60.5%
X 20.3%
2 19.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • OBOS-ligaen

Team stats

Kongsvinger
DWDWWLWWDL
W 5 • D 3 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:2.3 : 1.8
3 place, 27 pts
Sogndal
WDWDDLWLLW
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:2.4 : 2.1
12 place, 15 pts
Head-to-head: 14 — Kongsvinger 3, draws 5, Sogndal 6 (goals 20:25)
  • Sogndal — Kongsvinger2025-09-28 2:2
  • Kongsvinger — Sogndal2025-06-14 4:2
  • Sogndal — Kongsvinger2025-05-07 3:3
  • Kongsvinger — Sogndal2024-11-02 0:1
  • Sogndal — Kongsvinger2024-06-22 2:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Kongsvinger - Sogndal

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.85 market consensus · line only
X 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.17 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
X 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.45 22.5% 4.60 21.7% 4.80 20.8%
4.60 21.7% 5.07 19.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 4.20 23.8% 2.92 34.3%
yes 1.17 85.5% 1.36 73.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.01 99.0%
x2 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 6.00 16.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.87 53.5%
X 2.64 37.9%
5.10 19.6%
Match center
Kongsvinger
W W
14.06 12:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Kongsvinger 2:1 Khedd
31.05 13:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Kongsvinger 3:1 Osane
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Sogndal
L W
14.06 12:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Sogndal 2:4 Moss
31.05 13:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Sogndal 3:2 Stremmen
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKongsvinger - Sogndal

Kongsvinger
0 matches total
Sogndal
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history