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Norway: Premier League Standings
Norway: Premier League Standings
01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

Norway: Premier League Standings

Molde - Sarpsborg 08 FF

Football
M
Molde
- : -
Not started
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Molde — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Molde): model 42% · market 58% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Molde56.8%
X · draw22.8%
2 · Sarpsborg 08 FF20.4%

Model estimate: win Molde 56.8%, draw 22.8%, win Sarpsborg 08 FF 20.4%. Model favourite — Molde.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Molde (odds1.62) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Molde: probability 50% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.62)
  • • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Molde - Sarpsborg 08 FF August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Molde. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 4.34 / 2 5.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 58.5%
X 22.2%
2 19.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Eliteserien
League table
Molde
#523 ptsGP 147-2-525:19
ARRAY
Sarpsborg 08 FF
#621 ptsGP 146-3-515:16
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 1.67 Unibet
X 4.33 Bet365
2 5.04 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Molde
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.31 xG 1.70 xGA 1.50 Corners 5.2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.19 xG 1.48 xGA 1.69 Corners 4.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Molde
Rating 1582 xG 1.90 Win 57%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rating 1571 xG 1.05 Win 21%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 58.5% @ 1.65 / X 22.2% @ 4.34 / 2 19.3% @ 5.00
Match center

Molde - Sarpsborg 08 FF

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Molde 57.8% 56.8% market and model agree
Draw 22.8% 22.8% draw risk
Sarpsborg 08 FF 19.4% 20.4%
xG - 1.90 : 1.05

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.8% / 22.8% / 20.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,556 / 1,602 Molde / Sarpsborg 08
RD 212 / 222 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,131-1,980 / 1,157-2,046 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.82 market consensus · no value · model 20.4%
X 4.08 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 56.8%
Double chance
12 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 77.2%
1X 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 79.6%
X2 2.13 market consensus · no value · model 43.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.80 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.96 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.24 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.55 39.2%
yes 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.13 47.0%
X 2.52 39.7%
4.67 21.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.07 48.3%
Under 1.5 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Molde
W L D
26.07 13:00 UTC Norway: Premier League Standings
Molde 4:2 KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
18.07 14:00 UTC Norway: Premier League Standings
Molde 1:2 BrannBrann
11.07 12:00 UTC Norway: Premier League Standings
Molde 2:2 OlesunnOlesunn
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Sarpsborg 08 FF
W D W
26.07 13:00 UTC Norway: Premier League Standings
Sarpsborg 08 FF 1:0 KhamKamKhamKam
18.07 12:00 UTC Norway: Premier League Standings
Sarpsborg 08 FF 0:0 KristiansunnKristiansunn
12.07 15:15 UTC Norway: Premier League Standings
Sarpsborg 08 FF 1:0 VikingViking
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.7 Scored
0.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMolde - Sarpsborg 08 FF

Molde
0 matches total
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history