Norway. Division 2. Group 1
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 jerv — 45%
Pure model vs market (2 · jerv): model 25% · market 47% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Træff 29.2%, draw 25.7%, win jerv 45.1%. Model favourite — jerv.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.64 61.0% | 1.75 57.1% |
| x2 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.43 29.2% | |
| X | 2.42 41.3% |
| 2.52 39.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.45 40.8% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.43 41.2% | |
| 1.46 68.5% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.52 65.8% |
Sandviken
Full head-to-head historyTræff - jerv
The Træff - jerv breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
