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Norway. Division 2. Group 2
Norway. Division 2. Group 2
01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Not started

Norway. Division 2. Group 2

Follo - Trygg/Lade

Football
F
Follo
- : -
Not started
T
Trygg/Lade
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Follo — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Follo): model 40% · market 51% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Follo51.4%
X · draw20.7%
2 · Trygg/Lade27.9%

Model estimate: win Follo 51.4%, draw 20.7%, win Trygg/Lade 27.9%. Model favourite — Follo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Follo (odds1.81) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Follo: probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Follo - Trygg/Lade August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Follo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.81 / X 4.01 / 2 3.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 50.7%
X 22.9%
2 26.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

2. Division - Group 2
League table
Follo
#129 ptsGP 122-3-713:23
ARRAY
Trygg/Lade
#144 ptsGP 131-1-1116:36
ARRAY
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Follo
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 0.89 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.40 xGA 1.97
Trygg/Lade
W-D-L 1-0-9 Scored 1.20 Conceded 3.00 xG 1.25 xGA 2.28

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Market 1 50.7% @ 1.81 / X 22.9% @ 4.01 / 2 26.4% @ 3.47
Match center

Follo - Trygg/Lade

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Follo 50.7% 51.4% market and model agree
Draw 22.9% 20.7% draw risk
Trygg/Lade 26.4% 27.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.4% / 20.7% / 27.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,178 / 1,249 Follo / Tryugg/Lade
RD 233 / 221 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 711-1,645 / 807-1,691 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.47 market consensus · no value · model 27.9%
X 4.01 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.81 market consensus · no value · model 51.4%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.52 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.52 39.7%
yes 1.47 68.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.33 42.9%
X 2.53 39.5%
3.64 27.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%

Team To Score First

Outcome Leon
1.62 61.7%
X 18.70 5.4%
2.44 41.0%
Match center
Follo
D L
25.07 13:00 UTC Norway: Second Division - Group 2 Standings
Follo 0:0 Tromsdalen
12.06 14:00 UTC Norway: Second Division - Group 2 Standings
Follo 1:4 Kelsos
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Trygg/Lade
L L L
26.07 10:00 UTC Norway: Second Division - Group 2 Standings
Trygg/Lade 1:2 Eydsvold
14.06 11:00 UTC Norway: Second Division - Group 2 Standings
Trygg/Lade 1:2 Stordals Blink
31.05 09:00 UTC Norway: Second Division - Group 2 Standings
Trygg/Lade 1:2 Grorud
0 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFollo - Trygg/Lade

Follo
0 matches total
Trygg/Lade
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history