Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 2 Standings
Herd - Volda
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Volda — 43%
Pure model vs market (2 · Volda): model 57% · market 43% Δ +14 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Herd 33.6%, draw 23.1%, win Volda 43.3%. Model favourite — Volda.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Volda: probability 63% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.06)
- • edge over the line +15 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Herd - Volda July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.75 / X 4.03 / 2 2.15
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Herd - Volda
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.21 82.6% |
| 1x | 1.49 67.1% | 1.62 61.7% |
| x2 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.42 70.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.04 32.9% | |
| X | 2.66 37.6% |
| 2.53 39.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.03 49.3% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.10 47.6% | |
| 1.65 60.6% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.68 59.5% |
Team To Score First
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.04 49.0% | |
| X | 25.00 4.0% |
| 1.82 55.0% |
Rankheym 2
Full head-to-head historyHerd - Volda
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form