Match center
Start
30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
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30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished
Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Stremsgodset 2 - Tromso U19
S
Stremsgodset 2
1
:
1
Finished
T
Tromso U19
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Tromso U19 — 65%
Pure model vs market (2 · Tromso U19): model 41% · market 10% Δ +31 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Stremsgodset 2 17.5%, draw 17.2%, win Tromso U19 65.3%. Model favourite — Tromso U19.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Stremsgodset 2 - Tromso U19 July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / X 1.14 / 2 9.00
- Glicko: Stremsgodset 2 17.5% / X 17.2% / Tromso U19 65.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.4%
1
9.6%
X
80.2%
2 ✓ Pick
10.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
2.15
↑ 9.50
1X2 X
5.00
↓ 1.14
1X2 2
2.35
↑ 9.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Stremsgodset 2
3
:
2
Tromso U19
11.74
X4.50
23.30
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Stremsgodset 2 - Tromso U19
Form
3/2
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
Movement
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 65.3% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.144 / LogLoss 1.762
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 65.3% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.144 / LogLoss 1.762
Glicko-2: public filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 65.3% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.144 / LogLoss 1.762
Glicko-2: precision filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 65.3% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.144 / LogLoss 1.762
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Stremsgodset 2
9.6%
17.5%
Draw
80.2%
17.2%
draw risk
Tromso U19
10.2%
65.3%
market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
17.5% / 17.2% / 65.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,265 / 1,406
Stremsgodset 2 / Tromso U19
RD
230 / 266
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
805-1,725 / 875-1,938
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.00
Fonbet · weak value +487.9% · model 65.3%
X
1.14
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
9.50
Fonbet · no value · model 17.5%
Double chance
12
4.70
Fonbet · weak value +289.3% · model 82.8%
1X
1.04
Fonbet · no value · model 34.7%
X2
1.04
Fonbet · no value · model 82.5%
Handicap
2 0
1.80
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.90
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
8.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.62
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.15
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 2.15 46.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 4.70 21.3% |
| 1x | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 1.04 96.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 10.50 9.5% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.80 55.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.85 35.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 8.00 12.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 11.00 9.1% |
| Over 4.5 | 9.50 10.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 7.30 13.7% |
| Over 6.5 | 4.70 21.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 6.30 15.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.14 87.7% |
Match center
Stremsgodset 2
L
D
L
Stremsgodset 2
1:2
Finnsnes
Stremsgodset 2
2:2
Kharstad
Stremsgodset 2
1:4
Tromse 2
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.3
Scored
2.7
Conceded
1
Points
Tromso U19
L
W
Tromso U19
1:3
Ulfstind
Ulfstind
Tromso U19
4:1
Stremsgodset 2
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.5
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyStremsgodset 2 - Tromso U19
Stremsgodset 2
1
matches total
Stremsgodset 2: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tromso U19: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Tromse 2 1:4 (01.06 09:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (1:4, 01.06 09:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Stremsgodset 2
1:4
Tromse 2
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- Win probabilities & value flags
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