Austria. Women. Bundesliga
Strømsgodset II - Tromsø II
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Tromsø II — 65%
Pure model vs market (2 · Tromsø II): model 41% · market 10% Δ +31 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Strømsgodset II 17.5%, draw 17.2%, win Tromsø II 65.3%. Model favourite — Tromsø II.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Strømsgodset II - Tromsø II August 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / X 1.14 / 2 9.00
- Glicko: Strømsgodset II 17.5% / X 17.2% / Tromsø II 65.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
3. Division - Girone 5Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Strømsgodset II - Tromsø II
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 2.15 46.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 4.70 21.3% |
| 1x | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 1.04 96.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 10.50 9.5% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.80 55.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.85 35.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 8.00 12.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 11.00 9.1% |
| Over 4.5 | 9.50 10.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 7.30 13.7% |
| Over 6.5 | 4.70 21.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 6.30 15.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.14 87.7% |
Ulfstind
Full head-to-head historyStrømsgodset II - Tromsø II
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Strømsgodset II - Tromsø II breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form