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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings
31.07.2026 01:00 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings

Munisipal (Gva) - Kartakhines (Kos)

Football
M
Munisipal (Gva)
1 : 1
Finished
K
Kartakhines (Kos)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Munisipal (Gva) — 47%

Pure model vs market (1 · Munisipal (Gva)): model 44% · market 49% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Munisipal (Gva)47.4%
X · draw30.3%
2 · Kartakhines (Kos)22.2%

Model estimate: win Munisipal (Gva) 47.4%, draw 30.3%, win Kartakhines (Kos) 22.2%. Model favourite — Munisipal (Gva).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Munisipal (Gva) (odds1.92) Score 2:1 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Munisipal (Gva): probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Munisipal (Gva) - Kartakhines (Kos) July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Munisipal (Gva).

Line favourite market consensus: Munisipal (Gva). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.22 / 2 4.30
  • Glicko: Munisipal (Gva) 47.4% / X 30.3% / Kartakhines (Kos) 22.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 48.6%
X 29.4%
2 22.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Munisipal (Gva) 3 : 1 Kartakhines (Kos)
11.87
X3.10
24.09

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Market 1 48.6% @ 1.95 / X 29.4% @ 3.22 / 2 22.0% @ 4.30
Match center

Munisipal (Gva) - Kartakhines (Kos)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 47.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.760 / LogLoss 1.193
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 47.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.760 / LogLoss 1.193
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Munisipal (Gva) 47.6% 47.4% market and model agree
Draw 30.8% 30.3% draw risk
Kartakhines (Kos) 21.6% 22.2%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.4% / 30.3% / 22.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Munisipal (Gva) / Kartakhines (Kos)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.14 market consensus · no value · model 22.2%
X 3.07 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.93 market consensus · no value · model 47.4%
Double chance
12 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 69.7%
1X 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 77.8%
X2 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 52.6%
Handicap
2 +1 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.80 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.80 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.76 56.8%
yes 1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.18 84.8%
x2 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.56 39.1%
X 1.94 51.6%
4.90 20.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.12 47.2%
Under 1 1.64 61.0%