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Panama. Liga Panamena
Panama. Liga Panamena
31.07.2026 21:15 UTC
31.07.2026 21:15 UTC
Not started

Panama. Liga Panamena

Sporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador

Football
S
Sporting San Miguelito
- : -
Not started
P
Plaza Amador
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sporting San Miguelito — 51%

1 · Sporting San Miguelito51.3%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Plaza Amador29.4%

Model estimate: win Sporting San Miguelito 51.3%, draw 19.4%, win Plaza Amador 29.4%. Model favourite — Sporting San Miguelito.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sporting San Miguelito (odds1.95) Score 2:1 confidence 51%
  • • Model backs Migelito: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Plaza Amador. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / X 3.30 / 2 1.91

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 24.1%
X 27.8%
2 48.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga PanameG±a de FGєtbol
League table
Sporting San Miguelito
#1019 ptsGP 174-7-619:21
ARRAY
Plaza Amador
#137 ptsGP 2010-7-337:22
ARRAY
Best price across 9 books
1 3.80 1xBet
X 3.30 Betfair
2 1.98 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sporting San Miguelito
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.49 xG 1.29 xGA 1.10
Plaza Amador
W-D-L 5-5-0 Scored 2.00 Conceded 0.91 xG 1.48 xGA 0.98

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Sporting San Miguelito
Rating 1512
Plaza Amador
Rating 1650

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 21:15 UTC
Match center

Sporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sporting San Miguelito - 51.3% model pick
Draw - 19.4% draw risk
Plaza Amador - 29.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.3% / 19.4% / 29.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,519 Sporting San Miguelito / Plaza Amador
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 937-2,101 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 29.4%
X 3.26 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.79 market consensus · weak value +94.3% · model 51.3%
Double chance
12 1.28 market consensus · weak value +3.2% · model 80.6%
1X 1.77 market consensus · value +25.0% · model 70.6%
X2 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 48.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.39 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%
x2 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.58 21.8%
X 2.01 49.8%
2.53 39.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.96 51.0%
Under 1 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Sporting San Miguelito
D
27.07 23:30 UTC Panama: LPF - Apertura Standings
Sporting San Miguelito 2:2 Tauro
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Plaza Amador
D
24.07 23:30 UTC Panama: LPF - Apertura Standings
Plaza Amador 2:2 Arabe Yunido
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points