Panama. Liga Panamena
Sporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador
Sporting San Miguelito meet Plaza Amador on August 1, 2026 in the Panama. Liga Panamena.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sporting San Miguelito 0-1-0, Plaza Amador 0-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Plaza Amador, an implied 38% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Plaza Amador — 38%
Pure model vs market (2 · Plaza Amador): model 34% · market 38% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Sporting San Miguelito 33.4%, draw 28.5%, win Plaza Amador 38.1%. Model favourite — Plaza Amador.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Migelito: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador August 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Plaza Amador.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.13 / 2 2.36
- 1X2 market: Sporting San Miguelito 32.6% / X 29.0% / Plaza Amador 38.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga PanameG±a de FGєtbolHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Sporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.80 35.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.74 36.5% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% | 3.12 32.1% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.12 32.1% |
| 2.40 41.7% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.34 42.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.88 53.2% |
| yes | 1.82 55.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.48 67.6% | 1.52 65.8% |
| x2 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.39 71.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 2_4 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 2_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
Full head-to-head historySporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form