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Panama. Liga Panamena
Panama. Liga Panamena
02.08.2026 21:00 UTC
02.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Not started

Panama. Liga Panamena

Union Cocle - San Francisco FC

Football
U
Union Cocle
- : -
Not started
S
San Francisco FC

Union Cocle take on San Francisco FC on August 2, 2026 in the Panama. Liga Panamena.

Recent form (W-D-L): Union Cocle 0-0-1, San Francisco FC 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Union Cocle — 45%

Pure model vs market (1 · Union Cocle): model 39% · market 38% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Union Cocle44.6%
X · draw28.0%
2 · San Francisco FC27.4%

Model estimate: win Union Cocle 44.6%, draw 28.0%, win San Francisco FC 27.4%. Model favourite — Union Cocle.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Union Cocle (odds2.60) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Union Cocle: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.60)
  • • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Cocle - San Francisco FC August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Cocle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.20 / 2 2.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 38.4%
X 28.8%
2 32.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga PanameG±a de FGєtbol
League table
Union Cocle
#524 ptsGP 185-9-417:13
San Francisco FC
#723 ptsGP 176-5-624:26
Best price across 11 books
1 2.42 10Bet
X 3.22 Pinnacle
2 2.95 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Union Cocle
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.25 xGA 1.04
San Francisco FC
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.31 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.10 xGA 1.24

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Union Cocle
Rating 1520 xG 1.12 Win 38%
San Francisco FC
Rating 1502 xG 1.03 Win 33%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Union Cocle 1 : 1 San Francisco FC
12.34
X3.14
22.73

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 38.4% @ 2.40 / X 28.8% @ 3.20 / 2 32.9% @ 2.80
Match center

Union Cocle - San Francisco FC

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Union Cocle 45.0% 44.6% market and model agree
Draw 28.3% 28.0% draw risk
San Francisco FC 26.7% 27.4%
xG - 1.02 : 1.13

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.6% / 28.0% / 27.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,400 / 1,500 Union Cocle / San Francisco
RD 291 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 818-1,983 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.76 market consensus · no value · model 27.4%
X 3.17 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.39 market consensus · no value · model 44.6%
Double chance
12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 72.0%
1X 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 72.6%
X2 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 55.4%
Handicap
2 0 1.99 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.74 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.34 74.6% 1.41 70.9%
x2 1.47 68.0% 1.51 66.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.11 32.2%
X 1.95 51.3%
3.63 27.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.54 64.9%
Over 1 2.28 43.9%
Under 0.5 2.32 43.1%
Under 1 1.56 64.1%
Match center
Union Cocle
L
26.07 19:00 UTC Panama: LPF - Apertura Standings
Union Cocle 0:1 Errera
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
San Francisco FC
W
25.07 23:30 UTC Panama: LPF - Apertura Standings
San Francisco FC 4:1 Deportivo Universitario
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points