Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
13.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg

Independente FBK - Itaqua

Futbol
Independente FBK
Independente FBK
2 : 2
Finished
Itaqua
Itaqua

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Independente FBK - Itaqua July 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.60 / X 1.20 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 13.7%
X 75.6%
2 10.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Independente FBK 0 : 0 Itaqua
12.11
X3.13
23.25

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Independente FBK - Itaqua

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
X 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 6.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.63 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.10 47.6% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 3.70 27.0%
1x 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.09 91.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.75 36.4%
X 1.99 50.3%
4.09 24.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.98 50.5%
Under 1 1.74 57.5%
Match center
Independente FBK
D L W
07.07 20:00 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Independente FBK 2:2 Atletiko TembetariAtletiko Tembetari
30.06 19:00 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Independente FBK 1:2 Benjamin Aceval
06.06 11:00 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Independente FBK 2:0 Deportivo Karapega
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points
Itaqua
W L D
03.07 15:30 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Itaqua 1:0 Paraguari ACParaguari AC
06.06 11:00 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Itaqua 2:3 Benjamin Aceval
31.05 11:00 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Itaqua 2:2 Deportivo Karapega
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIndependente FBK - Itaqua

Independente FBK
0 matches total
Itaqua
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history