Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Paraguari AC - Deportivo Capiata
Paraguari AC go head-to-head with Deportivo Capiata on August 3, 2026 in the Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Paraguari AC 1-1-3, Deportivo Capiata 1-3-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Deportivo Capiata — 39%
Pure model vs market (2 · Deportivo Capiata): model 37% · market 39% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Paraguari AC 32.0%, draw 28.8%, win Deportivo Capiata 39.1%. Model favourite — Deportivo Capiata.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.11)
- • edge over the line +18 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paraguari AC - Deportivo Capiata August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.90 / X 3.15 / 2 2.42
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Division IntermediaHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Paraguari AC - Deportivo Capiata
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 1.88 53.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.51 66.2% | 1.54 64.9% |
| x2 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.36 73.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.61 27.7% | |
| X | 1.96 51.0% |
| 3.09 32.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.66 60.2% |
Paraguari AC
Independente FBK
Takuari
Atletiko Tembetari
Deportivo Capiata
Independente FBK
Takuari
Atletiko Tembetari
Benjamin Aceval
Full head-to-head historyParaguari AC - Deportivo Capiata
Match history
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The Paraguari AC - Deportivo Capiata breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form