Paraguay. Division 2
Tacuary Asuncion go head-to-head with Guarenya on August 9, 2026 in the Paraguay. Division 2.
Recent form (W-D-L): Tacuary Asuncion 1-3-1, Guarenya 1-1-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Tacuary Asuncion — 46%
Pure model vs market (1 · Tacuary Asuncion): model 45% · market 37% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Tacuary Asuncion 46.0%, draw 21.4%, win Guarenya 32.6%. Model favourite — Tacuary Asuncion.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.94 51.6% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.19 31.4% | |
| X | 1.96 51.0% |
| 3.48 28.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.99 50.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% |
Tacuary Asuncion
Sol de Amerika
Deportivo Kapiata
Independente FBK
Paraguari AC
Benjamin Aceval
Guarenya
Benjamin Aceval
Full head-to-head historyTacuary Asuncion - Guarenya
The Tacuary Asuncion - Guarenya breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
